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Even though this line is a bit high, backing Marquez would be my play and I would consider using him in a parlay. This will be a fight in the UFC Lightweight division. Green comes into this fight as the clear favorite, and has an MMA record of He is coming off a loss to Thiago Moises back in October of This snapped his three-fight winning streak and Green is now in the UFC.
Green is averaging 5. His grappling is decent as well, averaging 1. His takedown accuracy is 41 percent and his takedown defense is 72 percent. He is coming off a loss to Vince Pachel back in August of Miller is averaging 2. He is absorbing 2. Miller is more likely to try and fight on the ground, where he is averaging 1. Though his takedown accuracy is 43 percent and his takedown defense is 46 percent.
This has the makings of a fight that looks like it will go the full distance. Green has seen his last nine fights in a row go the distance and his last submission loss was in , before he joined the UFC. Green does not have crazy power either, so backing this fight to go the distance will be my play. Gastelum comes into this fight with an MMA record of He is in the UFC and has lost three fights in a row. Most recently was the fight against Jack Hermansson, where he lost by submission in the first round.
Gastelum is averaging 3. In terms of grappling, Gastelum is averaging 0. Though his takedown accuracy is only 37 percent. Heinisch comes into this fight with an MMA record of Heinisch is averaging 3. Heinisch is a decent grappler, averaging 1. At the same time, his takedown accuracy is only 19 percent. It is hard to justify the price set on Gastelum roughly when you factor in his three-fight losing streak. He does have 10 finishes in his career with five of them coming in the UFC.
Even still, he has not had a finish since , making me believe he will not find one here either. Heinisch appears to have better striking as well, so as a lean, I am going to back the underdog here to win his second consecutive fight. Grasso comes into this fight with an MMA record of This was a win by unanimous decision and came back in August of Grasso is averaging 5.
She is absorbing 3. Her grappling is not quite as good, averaging 0. Her takedown accuracy is 40 percent and her takedown defense is 63 percent. Barber comes into this fight with an MMA record of She is in the UFC after losing her first fight back in January of Barber is averaging 6. Barber is decent with her grappling ability, averaging 0.
Though her takedown accuracy is only 30 percent. She does defend takedowns 80 percent of the time, so that will be a huge boost in this fight. We have to be careful here because of the injury that Barber is coming off of. As a result, my pick would be Barber on the money line to bounce back as a small underdog.
This will be a fight in the UFC Welterweight division. This fight will also be a fight for the UFC Welterweight title belt. Usman comes into this fight with an MMA record of Usman is averaging 4. Also, note that Usman has never been knocked out. What makes Usman so good is that he has elite grappling as well. He is averaging 3. More impressively, his takedown defense is a perfect percent.
He has won six fights in a row, most recently beating Tyron Woodley in May of Burns is averaging 3. His grappling is also an important part of his fighting style, averaging 2. At the same time, Burns only has a takedown accuracy of 37 percent and a takedown defense of 50 percent. As good as Burns has looked, his below average takedown accuracy could be his biggest issue here. Usman can pretty much win in any way he wants, but more than likely he is going to control this fight for five rounds and win by decision.
Usman has won nine of his 12 UFC fights by decision and the fight against Covington was 60 seconds from being the same result. Once a month or more there is a UFC fight held with a card that may feature over a dozen fights including the preliminaries. Each of those battles offers a chance for a variety of UFC picks to be graded wins or losses.
Each fighter will have odds depending on how likely he or she is to win the fight combined with the likelihood that the public is going to take those odds. In a perfect world for sportsbooks betting actually will be split as close to possible to each side of the octagon. This limits the damage in case of an upset and prevents a huge loss if a heavy chalk fighter gets a big win.
The way sportsbooks manage their leverage for UFC betting is by raising the odds on the favorite until he or she is nearly too high priced to take. In addition to out UFC picks and predictions for all of the main UFC events, which are typically headlined by a title fight, and pay-per-view, we also cover each of the UFC Fight Night events, which are held around two or three weekends a month.
Everyone knows the likes of Conor McGregor, Jon Jones, and Khabib Nurmagomedov to name a few, and with the marquee fights, betting interest skyrockets. With this, the attention sportsbooks place on their markets do too, so the UFC Fight Night Predictions are often filled with hidden gems. Our experts leave no stone unturned ahead of locking in our UFC predictions, watching hours of film, past fights, breaking down the matchups, stats, and training camps to bring you the most informed UFC Fight Night predictions.
A UFC card is more than the main event, with the main card, prelim fights, and early prelim fights, you can see up to 15 UFC fights on fight night and our Expert UFC handicappers spend hours researching each one, to bring you the best UFC predictions tonight. Many UFC bettors will be tuning in for the main event but may want to have a wager across the card or on some of the early fights.
Our experts cover each fight on the card, right through to the main event, and with in-depth previews, you can digest all of the key stats and information alongside all of our UFC predictions tonight. As a result, Jorge Masvidal is stepping into his spot in the co-main event against Kamaru Usman.
However, the rest of the fights, including the co-main event Alex Volkanovski vs. Max Holloway, are seeing plenty of action on DraftKings. Through July 6, there are a few interesting developments to keep an eye on. Holloway and Volkanovski are seeing a fairly even split on the handle and tickets with Holloway seeing slightly more in each category.
The Australian dominated the Hawaiian in their only fight. Five years ago, seeing Jose Aldo as an underdog would have been baffling. The Brazilian was considered one of the best fighters of his generation. However, following his stunning loss to Conor McGregor in , Aldo has fallen off. Including the McGregor knockout, Aldo only has three wins in his last eight matches. The public is backing the favorite by a wide margin.
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