Carolina has been pesky against the spread this season, posting a record. But Matt Rhule's squad is just straight up since its start and doesn't have much motivation to push star running back Christian McCaffrey thigh into this game. SportsLine's model projects that New Orleans will win by double-digits as the Saints cover the spread nearly 60 percent of the time. The over The model has also made the call on every other game on the Week 17 NFL schedule and identified a big favorite that goes down hard in a major upset.
You can only get every pick for every game here. What NFL picks can you make with confidence in Week 17? And which heavy favorite goes down hard? Atlanta Falcons vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers -7, Baltimore Ravens vs. Dallas Cowboys vs. Miami Dolphins vs. Buffalo Bills -3, Minnesota Vikings vs. New York Jets vs. New England Patriots -3, Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cleveland Browns -9, Seattle Seahawks vs.
Green Bay Packers vs. Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Indianapolis Colts , Kansas City Chiefs vs. Los Angeles Chargers no line. Indianapolis was exposed defensively by the physical rushing attack of the Browns earlier this season and they generally play a conservative style of zone defense that Jackson has found his greatest success against throughout his NFL career. In the absence of several key players on the Baltimore defense, the Colts offense should also have a solid performance as their outstanding offensive line can counter the blitz-heavy attack that the Ravens deploy.
When you also consider the potential for turnovers and defensive scores, this relatively low total is about 3 points lower than the fair price by my numbers, so over 47 is in play in what should be one of the most entertaining games of the week. Tuley: The Giants fell to with their loss to the Buccaneers on Monday Night Football and I was listening all Tuesday to people knocking them, which I found surprising as I was happy with them covering as These teams also just met three weeks ago with Giants winning , though they needed a scoop-and-score fumble return and had to hold on by stopping a late two-point conversion attempt.
Youmans: The Raiders go from the cold and wind in Cleveland to a fast track in L. Las Vegas is allowing 29 PPG, rank 25th in the league in scoring defense. The Chargers, who have been riddled by defensive injuries all season, allow Derek Carr is not getting hyped like Chargers rookie quarterback Justin Herbert, but Carr has been sharp all season while completing 71 percent of his passes with 14 touchdowns to two picks.
Herbert should continue to thrive as he faces a Raiders defense ranked 31st in DVOA and with the betting market drifting all the way to pick-'em, the buy point for Los Angeles is getting close. This is a pass for the time being, but the Raiders on their second week of back-to-back travel are slightly overvalued by the market in this spot and I will be watching for the opportunity to back the Chargers as a small dog as the weekend approaches. The Dolphins lead the NFL in scoring defense The opposing quarterbacks in those games -- Jared Goff and Joe Flacco -- are a couple of stiffs, however.
Rookie quarterback Tua Tagovailoa is not a reason for encouragement, at least not yet. Tagovailoa got his first win as a starter in Week 8, but he did not exactly earn the win and passed for only 93 yards. The Dolphins have the 28th-ranked rushing offense, and leading rusher Myles Gaskin is out with a knee injury.
Tom Brady has been one of the most efficient passers in the league since Week 2, totaling 18 touchdowns with two interceptions in the past seven games. An offense that is vastly improved since Week 1 now adds wide receiver Antonio Brown. The good news for the Saints is wideouts Emmanuel Sanders and Michael Thomas have returned to practice, so Drew Brees should have all of weapons loaded for the first time since mid-September.
Despite losing the opener by 11, Tampa Bay has a point differential of New Orleans is SU with a point differential of 9, which means the Saints have been grinding out narrow wins. The gap between these defenses is significant, and the Buccaneers are much better in respect to run defense first, Pick: Over Pick: Cardinals Headlines View All.
Monday Myths: They Knew
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|Nicosia betting 11||But consider a few factors before jumping on the bandwagon:. The Vikings and Lions are out of playoff contention, and Minnesota will be without superstar running back Dalvin Cook after his father passed away earlier this week. Golden State Warriors. Tuley: The Giants fell to with their loss to the Buccaneers on Monday Night Football and I was listening all Tuesday to people knocking them, which I found surprising as I was happy with them covering as The Packers have been great on offense this season, but their defense still ranks below average.|
|Best movies played on bet||Super Bowl draws smallest TV audience since ' Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Tennessee's weak spot is its pass defense, with Rodgers and the Packers suited quite well to exploit that. This is the highest total of the weekend and I have no problem jumping on the over here. Here are some ATS stats for your noggen:.|
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